Tuesday, September 27, 2005

Tom Davis to get NFIB post?!?!?!?!

The Washington Post ran an article earlier this month on the prospect that Tom Davis might vacate his 11th Congressional District seat prior to the 2006 election for a better paying job. In that article, it reads:

Reached on his cell phone Wednesday, Davis denied that there is anything old about his seat. "I'm not going anywhere," he said. But he pointedly declined to say whether he had been in talks with the NFIB (National Federation of Independent Business). "I'm running for reelection, if that's what your question is," he said. "But stay tuned."
Well, I just returned from a dinner where the scuttlebutt from another one of the finalists for the NFIB President & CEO slot said he's reasonably certain that Davis is getting the job offer. Davis's annual salary would jump from the $158,000 he is currently making as a Member of Congress to $1.4 million per year as head of NFIB. This would be the equivalent of a major political earthquake in Northern Virginia. This move by Davis makes sense when coupled with other information that I recently received that John Warner is planning on sticking around past 2008. Even though he is term-limited as Chairman of the Senate Armed Services Cmte., he is next in line to assume the chairmanship of the Senate Environment & Public Works Cmte. in 2008 with the next highway reauthorization bill due up in 2009, giving him the chance to leave a legacy there as well. So, if all this comes to pass, does Jeannemarie make the run for Tom's seat as many have speculated? Or does Connaughton move out of the 1st and into the 11th within PWC and make the run based upon his solid showing in the 11th during last June's LG primary? The implications of this potential move by Davis could be quite far reaching indeed.

14 Comments:

At 9/27/2005 11:30:00 PM, Blogger too conservative said...

Disagree.
Tom must know something the public doesn't regarding Warner.
He IS running. No doubts.

Every delegate, state-senator, activist, is being positioned for his Senate run.

It's going to happen.

 
At 9/27/2005 11:32:00 PM, Blogger Riley, Not O'Reilly said...

Like I said, this is fresh news tonight and it is flying around Blackberries on Capitol Hill and the lobbying community as I write this.

 
At 9/28/2005 09:24:00 AM, Blogger Riley, Not O'Reilly said...

Someone else I trust just told me that Davis told him face to face recently that he was running for Senate.

Guess we'll have to wait and see what happens. We should know soon enough when NFIB announces their choice.

 
At 9/28/2005 11:20:00 AM, Blogger Not Jack Herrity said...

Riley: Davis will not accept the NFIB position. Trust me on this one. He's not going anywhere.

 
At 9/28/2005 11:59:00 AM, Blogger Riley, Not O'Reilly said...

I hope that he doesn't accept it and I have read his "denials" in the WashPo earlier this month and in CQ last week. (Each one has a qualification to it, though, such as "I'm not going anywhere - right now.") However, it sounds as if an offer will at least be made to him by NFIB. The ball is in his court at that point. And if Warner indicates to him that the senate seat won't be open, I couldn't blame him for taking the post.

 
At 9/28/2005 12:32:00 PM, Blogger Not Larry Sabato said...

My sources tell me that Tom has accepted the position, on the condition that all Republicans agree not to run except for Mr. Riley. He feels that is the only way to hold the seat.

 
At 9/28/2005 01:23:00 PM, Blogger Riley, Not O'Reilly said...

Only I live in the 1st, not the 11th, and I have no intention of moving.

 
At 9/28/2005 01:45:00 PM, Anonymous NoVA Scout said...

I can't begrudge him an opportunity to make good money. But, given how much risk his departure would create for control of the seat, he needs to conduct himself in a way that maximizes GOP chances to retain the seat. This would included holding off any announcement until well after the November election amnd some deep thought given to strong support for the most likely GOP contender (and Davis knows exactly who that is), in order to prevent or at least damp down an internecine blood bath that we do so well.

 
At 9/28/2005 02:27:00 PM, Blogger MR JMS said...

Any departure will require an annointing. If not, we lose the seat.

 
At 9/28/2005 03:05:00 PM, Anonymous NoVA Scout said...

BTW, Not Larry is looking rather buff these days.

 
At 9/28/2005 03:16:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

He's not leaving.

 
At 9/28/2005 03:20:00 PM, Blogger Hirons said...

Yea but just imagine how exciting the race for an open 11th district seat would be. It's not a slam dunk seat for either party - I'd guess it would be a true 'swing' district.

How many R's would vie for the nomination? How many D's? How much total money would be spent?

It sure would keep the blogs turning!

 
At 9/28/2005 08:42:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Didn't TMD have a press conference a week or two ago explicitly denying this rumor?

 
At 9/30/2005 03:09:00 PM, Blogger Riley, Not O'Reilly said...

Nope. All he has said is that he isn't going anywhere right now, he is running for re-election, etc. All things with wiggle room.

 

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