Sunday, November 06, 2005

Fairfax Final 72

I have been out alot recently going door to door, and also calling on the phones for the ticket, and the responses for the ticket have not been good. Although the Kilgore campaign has done a fairly good job of getting people for the final 72 up here, paying them $50 for 6 hours, I feel increasingly certain that the race has already been lost. Judging by grassroots strengh, and polling numbers I have heard, I feel the only Republican wins in Fairfax including the ticket are Albo, Craddock and Mason. Republican Michael Golden has ran a great campaign, but I do not feel he will be able to overcome the moderation of the district. I am a strong Kilgore supporter, a moderate McDonnell supporter, and have distain for both candidates in the Lt.Governor race. With what is going on nationally, the weak selection of state-wide candidates, and the incompetencies of many of the campaigns, I feel we are not going to perform well on Tuesday. If so, we as a party will need to pick ourselves up, and ask what we did wrong. A Republican loss on Tuesday does more then effect our party state-wide. It puts in motion a possible Democrat take over next year in the House, and strongly strengthens Mark Warners '08 position.


At 11/06/2005 10:08:00 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

The Fairfax GOTV rally was just embarassing. The weekend before the election, and only a motley crew of folks come out to see the ticket + a bunch of state Republican luminaries?

At 11/06/2005 10:16:00 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Luckily, the Monday night rallies should be much bigger... if only because half the crowd will be paid to be there, shipped in from Oklahoma and other states.

At 11/06/2005 10:28:00 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...!news!politics&s=1045855935264

50 people on the Penninsula. Weekend of the election. And even that was butressed by a mostly out of state group who have nothing else to do but go where the campaign tells them.

At 11/06/2005 11:42:00 AM, Anonymous William Jackson said...

I can't speak for NoVa, but the Martinsville rally had 80+ people there, (only 5 appeared to be staff). Thats a tremendous crowd for a county that normally musters up 20 people for an event. Following that event, I made my way over to the Danville rally with well over 100 people attending. Hopefully rural Virginia can rack up those numbers and cover for you boys upstate!

At 11/06/2005 01:13:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Based on the polling numbers I've seen Dave Albo has lost and has no chance to win.

At 11/06/2005 01:18:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

TC- I agree with you up until you say that Craddock will win. This guy is a DA. It's not that he has such tremendous disdain for Africans and Gays that bugs me. What bothers me is that he was so STUPID that shared those feelings with a room fll of high school kids. Even if it hadn't ended up in the papers, what kind of "true consercative" thinks that such things are appropriate classroom talk?

At 11/06/2005 01:28:00 PM, Blogger too conservative said...

Albo is within the margin.
I feel strongly he will win.

Craddock's 72 Hour Program is incredible, he has more volunteers than any other delegate race in NOVA I have seen this year.

He feels strongly about his views on homosexuality, and I respect those views. I also do not think it was right to share them in a classroom, but this election should be more than that.

Caputo has stated we should take care of Southwest Virginia, has not disagreed with partial-birth, and has made a huge list of unfunded wish lists.

That coupled with the conservative base in the 67th, puts Craddock ahead.

Chris will run ahead of Jerry, no doubt.

At 11/06/2005 07:08:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

"Chris will run ahead of Jerry, no doubt."


At 11/06/2005 08:19:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

"Craddock's 72 Hour Program is incredible."

So is his boneheadedness. If he does win, I will work first for his primary opponent, and if necessary, then for his Democratic opponent in two years.

At 11/06/2005 09:43:00 PM, Anonymous NOVA Scout said...

I know TC is a fan, but I feel strongly that the conservative Republican cause would be badly served by a Craddock victory. We very much need to get away from these cartoon conservatives and reach some level of seriousness about running capable, high quality candidates. I feel the same way about Dick Black. These guys realy hurt us over time. WE just have to (to use Mr. Lincoln's phrase) "disenthrall ourselves" from immature, projectile buzzword vomiters and find some able technical servants of the people to bring order to Virginia's financial house.

At 11/06/2005 10:33:00 PM, Blogger too conservative said...

I agree about Dick Black.

My loyalties lie with the Davis end of the party , but I have seen first hand that Craddock is more than what even his own side of the party is making him.

Craddock may say some things I do not agree with, but he is honest.

At 11/07/2005 07:30:00 AM, Anonymous NoVA Scout said...

TC: If you know him personally, I'll defer to you and retrench a bit. I don't know him so I shouldn't be too judgmental. He sure is coming across as someone who could do some growing.

At 11/07/2005 10:31:00 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

But when will the disenthrallment happen?

I have watched Virginia politics for many years, and I have seen time and time again-especially in northern Virginia-the GOP select the checklist ideologue who is typically young and has multiple degrees over the long time community activist who is known favorably throughout the district but is not 100% on the social issues report card.

The young turk wins the nomination and then loses the general-and on the rare ocassion when the young turk wins the general they are quickly retired from the legislature.

Craddock is not the only example of this. Golden's nomination in 41 is another case. In 2003 we had McDowell over Polychrones in a nominating contest. McDowell loses to Shannon, and is not back this year. In 2005 we may see conservative jeff Frederick lose to Hilda barg. Would the GOP be in as much trouble in the 52nd if Jack Rollison still held the seat? Doubtful.

We shall see what happens in 2007...


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