Sunday, November 20, 2005

The Future

Chad Dotson has a great post up regarding the percieved future of a lot of our party. I think Peter Hardin called Davis' future just a little incorrect though. I dont believe Davis could come out a victor in a primary against Bolling/McDonnell for Governor, but Senate seems the most likely of the scenarios. In the Gibson article, if there is any truth to Paul Harris eyeing the next Gubernatorial race, he could play a very interesting role in a primary by courting voters both Bolling , and McDonnell usually do not.

17 Comments:

At 11/20/2005 01:16:00 PM, Blogger Mother Goose said...

Paul Harris for Governor/Lt. Governor makes more sense that his rumored bid for AG. (Although I think Governor is a real long shot for Paul.) The Republicans, like the Dems, will pick a Commonwealth Attorney or former prosecutor for AG.

 
At 11/20/2005 05:01:00 PM, Blogger MR JMS said...

So, a former Deputy Attorney General of the entire country makes no sense for AG?

 
At 11/20/2005 06:07:00 PM, Anonymous J. Sarge said...

Paul Harris was never the Deputy Attorney General of the United States (of which there is only one). He was a Deputy Associate Attorney General (of which there are several). That having been said, he certainly has the qualifications to be the AG of VA. He is certainly more qualified than McDonnell, a Regent Law grad.

 
At 11/20/2005 06:11:00 PM, Blogger Mother Goose said...

Actually Mr. Harris was an Assistant Attorney General in the Civil Division. I don't think a lawyer who has never prosecuted a criminal defendant is going to be able to convince the voters that he is ready to be Virginia's "Top Cop." Nevertheless, it looks like Paul understands this and is focusing on Gov./Lt. Gov. issues.

 
At 11/20/2005 06:23:00 PM, Blogger Mother Goose said...

J. Sarge: You are correct about Harris' title. It doesn't change my analysis, however. The Republicans will not nominate a candidate for AG that isn't perceived as a strong supporter of law enforcement. Assuming Deeds is the Dem's candidate in '09, the Reps will need to nominate someone who can match him in the law enforcement community. I think a Commonwealth Attorney or former prosecutor gets that done.

 
At 11/20/2005 08:16:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Paul Harris has no future in Virginia politics. His wife absolutely detests his past political involvement and offers no support. There is further drama between Harris and his wife (a la law enforcement run-in) that will complicate/neutralize future political endeavors by Harris. Currently Harris is the general counsel for a major DC government contractor probably drawing a salary of $250/yr. He'll stay right where he is. Focus your prognostications on other folks.

 
At 11/20/2005 08:30:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

FYI- The "Top Cop" in Virginia is the Governor. Learn about the state constitution first there big guys.

 
At 11/20/2005 08:31:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

When will Sean Connaughton stick up for his spokesman TC?

 
At 11/20/2005 09:25:00 PM, Blogger Mother Goose said...

Apparently, you just missed months of TV and radio ads from McDonnell and Deeds about who would be Virginia's next "Top Cop." You may also want to review the credentials of the past Republican AGs. Gilmore (Commonwealth Attorney), Kilgore (state and federal prosecutor), McDonnell (state prosecutor). And, on another note, I am not interested in gossip about someone's wife. Let's stick to issues and the potential candidate's qualifications.

 
At 11/20/2005 09:51:00 PM, Blogger AWCheney said...

I agree Mother Goose...and, Anon. 8:31 PM, TC is doing just fine on his own.

 
At 11/21/2005 12:52:00 AM, Blogger J.Sarge said...

Mother Goose,

I don't recall Mark Earley having been a prosecutor...

There is no doubt but that Republicans and Democrats now characterize the AG as the "top cop." That, however, does not make it a correct characterization. If there is a "top cop," and it is not the Governor (although anon. 8:30 is right), you would point to the Secretary of Public Safety. The AG should be called the Virginia's top lawyer. Harris' civil division experience would be much more relavent than any prosecutorial experience McDonnell garnered a decade ago. I hope that soon a candidate can break this vicious cycle of misperception that swirls around the AG's office...

 
At 11/21/2005 09:39:00 AM, Blogger MR JMS said...

Agreed.

Flawed perception is we need a Prosecutor in the Attorney General's office. Prosecution of crimes generally falls to the Commonwelath's Attorney and the AG's office is there to assist. I believe a lawyer with a larger breadth of knowledge is better for the state than simply a Prosecutor.

 
At 11/21/2005 02:27:00 PM, Blogger James Young said...

It's a little nonsensical to suggest that the AG need by a former prosecutor. If there's one lasting accomplishment of Jim Gilmore --- really, there are several --- it is convincing Virginia voters of this myth. The AG's office is really a civil law office, not criminal, and it is most akin to management of a private law firm. However, McDonnell successfully kept the myth alive by running on his prosecutorial credentials to beat Steve Baril.

 
At 11/21/2005 07:02:00 PM, Blogger Mother Goose said...

And, Steve Baril would have lost to Creigh Deeds had he been nominated. Republicans have a natural advantage on law and order issues (abolition of parole, truth in sentencing, mandatory penalties, death penalty, etc.) and I am not sure why the Republicans would want to nominate a candidate that wouldn't be able to capitalize on that advantage. Can you imagine a television commercial highlighting an AG candidate's great "management" skills or her great work on a wrongful termination lawsuit.

 
At 11/21/2005 07:43:00 PM, Blogger MR JMS said...

For someone like Harris though you just need to focus on his life story. Where he came from, Army Paratrooper, First African American Repub Delegate since reconstruction, US Justice Department.

 
At 11/21/2005 10:56:00 PM, Blogger Mother Goose said...

Check this out from Bob McDonnell's website.

"The transition is already well under way. I am working with leaders across Virginia to craft a legislative package that focuses on key priorities like cracking down on child sex predators and drug dealers, combating the gangs in our schools and communities, strengthening new laws on identity theft, and protecting private property rights,” McDonnell stated.

It looks like our new AG is focusing his attention on criminal justice issues.

 
At 11/22/2005 09:31:00 AM, Blogger James Young said...

I have no doubt you're correct, Mother. I just cite it as one of the many myths that politicians successfully utilize to get elected ... much like Clinton's (and every other Democrat's) nanny-state proposals which impose the federal government into areas that it doesn't belong in.

 

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