Friday, November 11, 2005

The Media Wraps Them Up

Out in the 67th, the Times, and Centreview declare a "historic victory" for Democrats in the 67th. With the help of Chairman Connaughton, the Gainesville Times looks into why Prince William is turning Blue. Image Hosted by ImageShack.us With this single picture from the Springfield Times, the Albo-Werkheiser race is epitomized. Without the financial and grass-roots backing Congressman Davis gave Delegate Albo, Werkheiser would have won. Tom Davis has proven yet again he is the man in charge in Northern Virginia.

21 Comments:

At 11/11/2005 12:05:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Albos district is very liberal, I am still suprised he won with Kaine winning his district handidly.

 
At 11/11/2005 03:31:00 PM, Anonymous Rtwng Extrmst said...

Interesting, I thought about this today. If Craddock was able to still pull 41% after the bloodbath poured out on him in hte press, that 41% has to be a good estimate of the conservative vote in his district. This means that in two years two win it back, all that has to be done is win over that roughly 10% of the electorate who either stayed home or believed the lies of the press. Maybe things aren't so bad...

 
At 11/11/2005 03:39:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

If that becomes the level of analysis about why we lost we are truly doomed as a Party ...

 
At 11/11/2005 03:39:00 PM, Blogger too conservative said...

It's not..but in two years won't the BOS have a race?

The only way we take back Craddock's seat is if Craddock runs again, and Michael Frey heads the top of the ticket.

Frey must run hand in hand with Craddock, and they both feed off each other base.

Otherwise, Gerry helps Caputo win.

 
At 11/11/2005 03:58:00 PM, Anonymous Rtwng Extrmst said...

Gerry? You aren't serious! Gerry is getting such a bad rep for his zoning decisions that I'm betting even the dems come out against him.

Also, why would Craddock run again? To do it in two years he would have to do some very visible community work for the next two years in order to disspell the negative impression many have of him. I would think it would be better to start fresh.

FYI my analysis above was not meant to say that's the only reason he lost. It is more to say that if you can count on 41% no matter how bad things get otherwise for a conservative in the 67th (and I truly believe things couldn't have gotten any worse for Craddock), then the math becomes pretty positive for a candidate who can bring a positive conservative message armed with a real voting record by Caputo over the next two years.

 
At 11/11/2005 04:01:00 PM, Anonymous Rtwng Extrmst said...

Not to mention that I've heard that Frey is not too happy right now because he was buds with Reese. Add to that that Frey has messed up on the adult video store issue. If not for that, I might have thought frey would run for the delegate seat. After all he would have more influence there than the dem packed BOS.

 
At 11/11/2005 04:17:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Tom Davis is the man in charge in NOVA????

Let's step out of your dream again TC. He's very influential sure ... but need we recount the races his candidate did not win?

Just having Albo get RE-ELECTED is not exactly an overwhemling show of strength.

 
At 11/11/2005 06:21:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

first posting anonymous.

People like Dave Albo. Dems and Pubs. sorry, he out performed the district because people like him and he worked hard. a lot electeds outperform local races because people like the person for whom they are voting. About 50,000 people voted Kaine/Bolling...
Splain that one Lucy...

 
At 11/11/2005 11:14:00 PM, Blogger James Young said...

Sorry, Sean, but your sour grapes are showing. Since when are low taxes not a Republican "basic"?

 
At 11/11/2005 11:27:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

People simply don't care about the tax issue in Northern Virginia. Get over your hang-ups and focus on their's because they make up the majority of voters.

 
At 11/12/2005 10:24:00 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Albo won because he was a great candidate with a great message. First, instead of simply parroting the state party and saying, "I voted against the Warner budget because it was the largest tax increase in Virginia history," he actually gave a reason to oppose this budget. Namely, that it was a big fat rip off for Fairfax and Northern Virginia. It's fine to oppose tax increases on principal, and that will get you the base. But many Northern Virginia "Independent" voters are too sophisticated to simply buy the "I voted against taxes" mantra. The real issue with them is "what are we getting for our money?" Because Dave was able to demonstrate that we got nothing from that budget, it innoculated him to a certain degree against Werkheiser, who was running around saying, "Dave is a right wing conservative and we need bipartisanship (i.e. someone who will vote for popular Governor Warner's budget)."

Apart from that, Dave had a very impressive grassroots organization that ensured that his supporters got to the polls. Kudos to his campaign team for helping him in that regard.

 
At 11/12/2005 11:43:00 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I would think Gary Reese has more of a chance to run in 2007 than Craddock does. People hate his guts around here, and justifiably so.

 
At 11/12/2005 07:28:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Isn't Dave Albo pro-child molestation or some sort of apologist for it? How come you guys keep defending him?

 
At 11/12/2005 09:22:00 PM, Anonymous Rtwng Extrmst said...

Well anon at least 41% of the voters don't hate him. I find it hard to believe anyone could justify it either. Reese on the other hand might run, but only as a democrat. After his antics in the election, his career is over as a republican in the 67th.

 
At 11/12/2005 11:35:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

That is correct. 41% of voters in this district were willing to overlook his anti-gay, racist, and sladerous statements. Woohoo for Craddock!!

Bashing Reese now is pointless. The move to oust the moderate Republicans clearly backfired on you guys. I suggest you admit the mistake and move on.

At least Reese would have a chance to win over some moderate voters. Craddock will never win if he couldn't win this time.

 
At 11/13/2005 04:31:00 PM, Anonymous Rtwng Extrmst said...

Anon, please tell me any actual racist, anti-gay, or slanderous statement that can be actually confirmed that Craddock made. You will find none. All the comments in the press were in fact third person quotes or cut-up quotes to make it look that way. Granted, he shouldn't have given them anything even close that could have been twisted in such a way, but you are obviously drinking the kool-aid if you believe it.

As to Reese, the strategy worked. We got rid of a dishonest Republican. One who would not stick by his past campaign promises. We now have a Democrat (a real one, not just one who hides behind the Republican name) and we will be able to run a better candidate next time to beat him. I've always said the primary challenge was a risky strategy since it's difficult to get experienced candidates to run against an incumbant of the party, but I still thought it was worth two years of a Dem in order to get rid of a RINO.

 
At 11/13/2005 10:18:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Rationalization is beautiful, isn't it??

Rtwng Extremist would rather have Caputo than Reese. At least, thats what he seems to be saying.

Would you rather have Hillary than John McCain?? Because John McCain isn't super right wing, you know.

 
At 11/14/2005 12:03:00 AM, Blogger too conservative said...

I'll admit.

I would more rather have Reese than Caputo.

 
At 11/14/2005 01:53:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Good TC, thats how you should feel.

Reese might not have voted in lockstep with the conservative base on every issue, but he did on most issues.

Caputo won't.

And who is to say Caputo can't win in 2007?? The reason you guys had this district on lockdown was due, in large part, to Reese's widespread appeal among moderates. Caputo can appeal to that voter group too, and as the incumbent he has a built in advantage.

 
At 11/15/2005 01:01:00 PM, Anonymous Rtwng Extrmst said...

Anon,

If Caputo actually votes as a "moderate" Dem (as he campaigned) you are right, but in that case we basically still have "Reese II". If he votes in favor of every tax and spending increase and against traditional values legislation, the Republicans will have much to use against him in running a good conservative next time in the 67th, and yes they should be able to win back those moderate voters in that case.

I am not saying I'd rather have Caputo, but a potentially honest Caputo over a proven dishonest Reese is certainly acceptable, especially when Caputo will not be able to actually achieve much to hurt the state since he is in the minority.

 
At 11/15/2005 05:09:00 PM, Blogger James Young said...

Anon 11:27, I don't know how you can say that, but I can assert with at least as much assurance, perhaps more, that Northern Virginia voters do care about taxes. In 1997, Northern Virginia voted for Jim Gilmore to get rid of the car tax. In 2002, Northern Virginia voted against the Warner/Rollison tax increase. It is at least possible, if not probable, that some Republicans stayed home because Jerry Kilgore was at best squishy and, at worst, a Warner fellow traveller on tax increases. This is borne out by the fact that Bolling and McDonnell, who both took stronger stands on the issue, outpolled Kilgore significantly in NoVA jurisdictions.

 

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