Wednesday, December 21, 2005

The Race for Chairman

With the November election over and no real races in '06 for Northern Virginia, many people have already begun looking towards '07. Fairfax County Board Chairman Gerry Connolly will likely run again, and only his defeat can gaurentee an easier hold in the 11th when Tom Davis leaves. The Republicans have little to chose from, as Republican Supervisors Elaine McConnell and Joan Dubois are not likely to muster enough support to run. Only Sully Supervisor Mike Frey has a strong base to run from, but he looks likely to remain out and run in an open-seat. The most electable candidate seems to be State Senator Jeannemarie Devolites-Davis , a moderate from the center of the county, who would have alot of backing and name to run on. Conservative school board member Steve Hunt is one of the very few elected county-wide Republicans, and although he may do very well in the primary , a race against Connolly could echo Michelle Brickner. If Devolites-Davis doesnt step up soon, we might have to start looking outside of currently elected officals for a formidible candidate. In Prince William County, two-term Republican Chairman Sean T. Connaughton would be well positioned for another run. The Democrats have little to field, as Hilda Barg can't win races, and John Jenkins is rumored to retire. Rick Coplen, who lives in Neabsco is currently appointed by Jenkins as Joint Recreation CenterAdvisory Board Fitness Program Representative, and would be likely run to replace Jenkins. Coplen will have trouble against popular School Board Member Julie Lucas. He showed in his race for Chairman he is not a good fundraiser, raising only 1/9th of Chairman Connaughton. County-wide only Earnie Porta, and Commonwealths Attorney Paul Ebert seem electable. Republicans should be able to continue to hold onto the Chairmanship, unless they self-implode in a nasty primary, which is quite possible. If Connaughton does not seek re-election, the two factions of the PWC Republican party will likely field candidates against each other. If Maureen Caddigan, Wally Covington, and Marty Nohe do not hash out amoung themselves quickly who they will field, someone from the "anti-tax" wing of the party would be better positioned to win a primary. From the otherside of the party, if Supervisors Corey Stewart or John Stirrup do not run, the PWC Tax-Payers Alliance will still field a candidate, who may fair well in a primary...but not a general. TC's Chairman Picks Fairfax-State Senator Jeannemarie Devolites-Davis Prince William-1)Chairman Sean Connaughton 2)Supervisor Marty Nohe


At 12/21/2005 10:37:00 PM, Anonymous gopkdh said...

Good picks tc

At 12/21/2005 10:59:00 PM, Blogger Riley, Not O'Reilly said...

Don't forget "The Thread That Will Never Die" (but has apparently been on life-support the past few months) that deals with this very topic from a PWC perspective.

Lots of great analysis there to start with and build upon here.

Personally, I think that it will be worked out where Maureen Caddigan gets the nod for PWC Chairman (based upon her seniority, position as County Vice Chairman, and demonstrated past fundraising ability) with Marty Nohe moving up to the Vice Chairman slot thus positioning him for Chairman in the future. It would be a win-win, especially now that Marty and Kris have three kids compared to when he ran last time and they didn't have any. Of course, I could be wrong. Even though I know the parties involved here, this is just purely speculation on my part.

At 12/21/2005 11:06:00 PM, Blogger too conservative said...

Marty over Caddigan

At 12/21/2005 11:26:00 PM, Blogger Riley, Not O'Reilly said...

TC, I said I thought my scenario would be worked out amicably in this manner, not fought out, so there wouldn't be one over the other. "The Thread That Will Never Die" has some good posts in it that led me to that conclusion.

At 12/21/2005 11:27:00 PM, Anonymous Not A Wealthy Fairfax Developer said...

Devolites-Davis won't run for Chair -- she'll have a tough race for re-election.

DuBois and McConnell are both likely to be primaried. McConnell was primaried in 2003 because she was seen as too liberal and too pro-tax in whats one of the two solid Republican magesterial districts in Fairfax (Sully and Springfield).

If DuBois runs for re-election (a big if), DuBois is likely to be primaried because she is seen as too pro-growth, too cozy with developers, and a weak campaigner and candidate. In fact, some Republicans are talking about needing to beat her in a primary because they don't think she can hold the seat in a general election.

(In all fairness, Dems have their problems in Providence where Linda Smyth is unlikely to survive a primary given the frustration with her over Fairlee-MetroWest).

There's no ready "name" to run -- but there is an issue. Growth. The anti-growth movement unites Republicans and Democrats in homeowners associations across the county. FairGrowth is a great organization that is uniting all the NIMBY groups (Hunter Mill, Fairlee-Metro West-Vienna, etc) shows that the way to beat these projects isn't one by one, but by uniting groups from McLean, Vienna, etc against growth.

Remember, BoS positions are technically "non-partisan" (the party's designation does not appear after the candidates names, as it does for state legislative and statewide candidates). So Republicans need to nominate a non-partisan person who does not talk about property taxes (except for Frey, all the GOP candidates for BoS who supported a 5% assessment cap in 03 lost) or social issues. Preferably someone with a business background. The candidate needs to focus on one issue and one issue only -- how Gerry Connolly and his developer buddies on the Board of Supervisors have sold out Fairfax commuters (note: commuters, not taxpayers) to the developer friends that give him campaign contributions. Those homebuilders are overdeveloping Fairfax which overcrowds our schools, forces our kids into trailers, and clogs the roads.

And its not like those businesses and developers like the Hazels and Petersens, who may be moderate Republicans, will donate against an incumbent like Connolly.

It doesn't have to be anyone with a name -- they have time to build name ID. Maybe a town council member from Herndon or Vienna (they are used to running non-partisan elections), some businessman with little political experience, or the leader of some homeowners association.

If Republicans can for an election, put ideology aside (we saw what an ideological campaign in Fairfax did for Kilgore, Golden, and Craddock in 05), and run an anti-growth slate, they could actually create a tidal wave and win seats in Braddock, Providence, Hunter Mill and take back the 67th, 41st, 37th, and 35th House Districts.

Even GOP endorsed school board candidate need to talk about how much growth hurts schools with overcrowding and trailers.

No matter what the subject -- the answer is always the problem is Gerry Connolly and the developers who give him thousands of dollars in exchange for overdeveloping Fairfax. That way when Connolly and the Dems attack the GOPers as extremists, the Republican message is already innoculated -- see, you can't trust those false attacks from the Democrats that are funded by their developer friends.

At 12/21/2005 11:30:00 PM, Blogger too conservative said...

Agreed Mr.Riley,

I do not believe it will be that easy though, with them being able to quickly agree on Caddigan as the most senior member.

With the Nohe-Covington-Caddigan crowd, I think it will take alot more than just an agreement. Maybe even lead to a 3 way primary.

nawfd-great points

At 12/22/2005 12:19:00 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

If Nohe and Covington did not step out of the way for Caddigan she would not run in a primary as she does not really have ambitions to be chairman and would only do it if the party asked her to. Also your comment about Hilda not being able to win elections is silly since she has easily won that seat 3 times her recent loss for Delegate is based more on poor managment then her not being electable.

At 12/22/2005 02:19:00 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I liked Ed Wilbourn as a supervisor. Great guy.

At 12/22/2005 07:51:00 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Coplen lives in Brentsville now and not Neabsco. The only Democratic candidate besides Porta and Ebert that has a realistic chance of winning is former Coles Supervisor Candidate Vic Bras.

At 12/22/2005 08:13:00 AM, Blogger Mitch Cumstein said...

Coplen leaving Neabsco makes that district interesting. I'm not sure who the Dems would put up to replace Jenkins, but it could be an opportunity for a Republican pick-up with the right candidate. I see Lucas running for Delegate and not Supervisor, assuming Mabie stpes aside and McQuigg runs for Clerk.

County-wide, Sean's the real wild card here. If he decides to run for a third term, it's his. If not, I think Nohe is the best choice. If Mabie does indeed step aside, Covington may run for Clerk. Caddigan would also make a great Chairman, but Marty's got my vote.

As far as electable Dems go, I agree on Porta and Ebert. Barg could, of course, be re-elected. The Bras comment is laughable, unless Marty does indeed run for Chairman. Even in that case, the GOP would have to put up a real dolt for Bras to have a realistic shot.

At 12/22/2005 08:28:00 AM, Blogger mitch's wife said...

Jim, the "thread that went on too long" was from months ago. A lot has changed since then.

Read between the lines folks... Riley wants to run for Dumfries Supervisor and has a hard time doing it if Wally or Marty (or Lucy Beauchamp) gets the nod over Maureen.

At 12/22/2005 09:40:00 AM, Blogger Waltzing Matilda said...

Caddigan is a hold over from the old way of doing business in Prince William County and I don’t think she could win outside of Dumfries. She would also make a horrible chairman. For Mrs. Caddigan everything is personal. She can’t stand it if someone says anything negative about her during citizen’s time or in the paper. When this happens, and it would happen a lot more if she were chairman just due to the nature of the position, she goes on and on about it wasn’t her fault even to the point of getting in to it with people in the audience during the Board’s meetings. Many times I have seen Mr. Connaughton have to stop her and whomever it is she is having it out with. She also hasn’t done much on the board. How many years have we been listening to her and Mrs. Barg go on and on about Route One, while the situation just gets worse and worse. Oh sure, she would tout the Marine Corps Heritage Museum, but, in reality, what did she really do to help that get built? It’s there because Quantico is there and surely she won’t take credit for having the base built? And let’s not forget that she was featured in a Democrat campaign piece when Mr. Connaughton ran back in 1999. This misstep proves my next point; she is also not a very savvy campaigner. With Prince William becoming more educated, more sophisticated and more culturally diverse, her hands-off, “elect me because I’m great” campaigning style just wouldn’t fly. Mrs. Caddigan would expect a coronation not an election and that won’t be the case. This is a race for Chairman not Homecoming Queen. Can you really imagine her in a debate? She would totally lose her cool at the first criticism. Also, it would be a very expensive race; easily costing between 150 and 200 thousand. Could Caddigan come up with that type of cash? Finally, looking beyond electablity, PWC needs a chairman who can keep its economic growth moving full steam ahead and I just don’t see Mrs. Caddigan as the person to do that. The last election proved that voters are looking for someone with answers and simply saying “Yeah, but I’m a Republican. Oh and I’m a Conservative Republican at that” just won’t cut it in Prince William anymore. She is a relic of the past and not the person to take PWC in to the future and I think the voters would see that. The people of Dumfries seem to like her and maybe she serves them well, but she is just not the person to run the whole county. She may have looked pretty good in the past when compared with who was on the board with her at the time, but this new board, full of new faces and ideas, has shown that Mrs. Caddigan is not nearly as progressive as she may think she is.

Riley Not O’Reilly- As far as Mrs. Caddigan being Vice Chairman and therefore having seniority, I don’t think that argument holds water. First, among the general public, who even knows she is Vice Chairman? Can you name the last Vice Chairman before her? They were Vice Chair during the election, so if it mattered it should have been played up quite a bit. Can you name the 4 Vice Chairs of the last board? If you, a politically minded individual doesn’t know, does the question of who is Vice Chairman really matter?

At 12/22/2005 09:54:00 AM, Anonymous James W. said...

Would Maureen Caddigan really be the "chairMAN?" I'm confused. Three of you in a row have used that term.

Wait a second. Is this part of that war on "political correctness" that you guys have going on here? Am I missing something?

Is the term "chair" too politically correct for you?

At 12/22/2005 10:04:00 AM, Blogger too conservative said...

Who would we have to run for Supervisor in Neabsco then?

If McQuiqq runs for clerk,I would guess Corey Stewart could run for her seat...

At 12/22/2005 10:06:00 AM, Blogger too conservative said...

how could coplen still be on a board from neabsco if he that allowed in pwc?

At 12/22/2005 10:10:00 AM, Blogger Riley, Not O'Reilly said...

Mitch's Wife, I'd be fine with Maureen, Marty, Wally or any of our other fine GOPers serving as Chairman. I have plenty on my plate right now, thank you, and Dumfries Supervisor is not on that list.

At 12/22/2005 10:11:00 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I understand that Gary Friedman has already announced that he is running for Chairman as the Democratic candidate. He ran for Gainesville Supervisor twice and lost both times.

At 12/22/2005 10:15:00 AM, Blogger Waltzing Matilda said...

James W.- quite the opposite. I wouldn't want to lessen a woman's place by assuming that the term "chairman" be shortened, i.e. weakened, to simply "Chair." Should a woman hold this seat I as politically correct person would want to afford her the same title as any man who has held the position. To do otherwise would be an insult. Surely, James W., you didn't mean to insult women or say they deserve less of a title then men?

At 12/22/2005 10:16:00 AM, Blogger Hirons said...

Coplen has pretty much said he's running for Chairman again.

In Sean's first term all he talked about is only serving two terms with the statement "if you can't get things done in 8 years you shouldn't be elected". Going to be pretty tough to run away from that. It'll take a grassroots (or appearance of a grassroots) movement to "Keep The Chairman", for him to stick around in that seat. But I'd guess he has bigger fish to fry then Chair of PWC BOCS.

There are about 5 dems itching to run in Neabsco. Most likely the nominee will be Carlos Labioso - Hispanic - HOA president - glued to JJ's backside. He had a flyer he was handing out to Latinos throughout Dale City (in Spanish of course) that stated Vote for John Jenkins in 2003 and Carlos in 2007. Of course what he was telling Latino voters at the polls was even more funny - considering he was speaking Spanish and didn't realize I could understand every word he was saying - putz -but I digress.

If I learned anything in 2003 it's that Dale City is solidly Democrat. Very tough for a R. to win. I think about the only person who could win the BOCS seat for the Rs. right now would be Julie Lucas. But I doubt she's at all interested. Last I knew she had eyes for Richmond. She'd be a good candidate in the 36th Senate.

If Julie doesn't run and we can't convince a Smith to run I wouldn't be surprised if the R's don't even field a candidate there. Although if that looks like it'll happen I have a few folks I'll be twisting arms on to throw their name in the hat.

Stewart is more interested in succeeding McQuigg then Chairman. Although I think he'll get a lot of pressure from the faction you speak of to run for Chairman with the promise of bigger and better things in the Gov. Bolling administration.

I'd still egg on Riley for Chairman - even though apparently he's not interested :(. While it would make sense for the chairman candidate come from the current board I think Jim would be better over all candidate (not that anyone else mentioned would not be a very good candidate). - bottom line the R's are in good shape to hold the Chairman seat. I hope Riley considers Dumfries if Maureen vacates.

Mitch Cumstein for Chairman!!!

At 12/22/2005 10:19:00 AM, Anonymous The Riddler said...

Riddle me this, Waltzing Matilda. Where will Nohe get the $150-200K it takes for this race? In 2003, according to the Virginia Public Access Project, out of the $52K he raised in his race for Coles Supevisor, $40K of that was a loan from himself.

At 12/22/2005 10:21:00 AM, Anonymous NOVA Scout said...

James W: A "chair" is a piece of furniture. Progressive, right-thinking, sensitive conservatives refuse to use it outside its proper meaning. It is demeaning to label women with words intended for inanimate objects upon which people sit. "Chairman," like "helmsman", is a gender neutral word that simply indicates an office or function. It has no gender-distinct content. The "-man" suffix is of ancient provenance and merely implies that the funciton is one performed by a person.

At 12/22/2005 10:22:00 AM, Blogger Riley, Not O'Reilly said...

Wow! I've finally gotten through to Hirons to at least stop the talk. I'm making progress!

At 12/22/2005 10:27:00 AM, Blogger Hirons said...

oops sorry:

At 12/22/2005 10:29:00 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

A Republican win for the Chair position is not a lock. Kilgore lost PWC, and Bolling/McDonnell just edged victories. Dumfries, Woodbridge, Occoquan and Neabsco are all voting consistently Democratic. You have to get your heads out of the past and look at the County's electorate today and in the future before you throw out all these names and make all these assumptions.

At 12/22/2005 10:30:00 AM, Blogger Mitch Cumstein said...

"Mitch Cumstein for Chairman!!!"

Easy there, hard charger! You've gotta learn to walk before you can run. I'm keeping all options open, but a run of that magnitude makes no sense whatsoever.

Of course, I still haven't ruled out a run for Governor in 2009 ;)

At 12/22/2005 10:30:00 AM, Anonymous Freddie said...

"Not A Wealthy Fairfax Developer",

Board of Supervisor positions are partisan. Candidates are nominated by the parties. They do not currently have the party ID on the ballot, but they that's because of old Democrat designed rules from back in the days when the Democrats ran everything in Virginia.

At 12/22/2005 10:33:00 AM, Anonymous Freddie said...

James W.,

I would not call a woman a piece of furniture. That would be rude.

At 12/22/2005 10:40:00 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I just looked at VPAP and noticed that in the last election cycle Connaughton was the largest donor donor to Corey Stewart! Boy, that was a great investment on Sean's part!

At 12/22/2005 11:09:00 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

anon 10:29 - I'd agree with most of your comment, but I think what's being demonstrated here is the Republican bench is a lot deeper the the D's. There doesn't appear to be D out there with the charisma, interests or fight to decisively win against a strong Republican team.

At 12/22/2005 11:15:00 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

That's what the Republican committees and officeholders used to think in Alexandria, Arlington, and Fairfax ...

At 12/22/2005 11:37:00 AM, Blogger Waltzing Matilda said...

Riddler- I don't think that I mentioned Mr. Nohe, my arguements against Mrs. Caddigan were just that, an argument against Mrs. Caddigan and should not be construed as an endorsement of any other person who might run. I was refuting TC and Riley's assumptions that Mrs. Caddigan would be a good candidate. But you make a good point that since I brought up Mrs. Caddigan’s ability to raise money, we should look at money for the others as well. I went on VPAP and did a little research.

Since you brought him up, let’s look at Mr. Nohe first. He did loan himself 40 thousand and raised $12,870 more. He spent $19,425, but I think that included the primary too. VPAP does not seem to break down the expenditures.

Next, how about Mr. Covington, he gave himself $7,625, raised $16,976 in a race that cost $8,866. I would argue that Mr. Covington ended up with more cash in the end because his nominating process was a convention, much less expensive than a primary.

Let’s throw Mr. Stewart in to the mix. He gave himself $17,500, but more interesting, he received 12 thousand dollars from Mr. Connaughton. I don’t think he could count on that donation next time. So the $40,252 he raised in the last go around is cut down to $10,752 after you remove the donation to himself and the Connaughton donation.

Finally, of the new board members, Mr. Stirrup did the best at raising money, but I would contend that his was a special race. He raised $32,619 and only gave himself $500. The reason that I say it was a special race is that you had a very unpopular incumbent in Mr. Wilburn and a donor group motivated by a loss four years earlier by only a hand full of votes. No slight against Mr. Stirrup, but, if you look at the race analytically, many of his donors were donating to get rid of Mr. Wilburn not so much to put Mr. Stirrup in office.

Now Mrs. Caddigan raised $47,598, which is more Mr. Nohe, Mr. Covington, Mr. Stewart or even Mr. Stirrup. But that would be comparing apples to oranges. These four were not incumbents while I believe Mrs. Caddigan had been on the board for 12 years at the time of her last election and therefore had much more time to cultivate donors. So let’s compare her to the others who were re-elected: Mr. Jenkins raised $97,171, Mrs. Barg raised $96,264 and Mr. Connaughton raised $388,654 (albeit for a county wide race). Even Mr. Wilburn, who lost, but was still also an incumbent raised $117,032. Suddenly, her 47 thousand dollars doesn’t look so good.

So here is the final money analysis as I see it, of the new board members, Mr. Stirrup had an unusual race that generated quite a bit of money for him and Mr. Nohe, Mr. Covington and Mr. Stewart were all in the same money raising ball park. But more telling was the fact that Mrs. Caddigan was out raised by every incumbent running in the general election, Democrat or Republican, winner or loser, by more than 2 to 1.

Now there is something to think about.

At 12/22/2005 11:50:00 AM, Anonymous The Riddler said...

The difference between Caddigan's fundraising and that of the other incumbents is she did not accept large donations from big developers the way the others did. VPAP will tell you that, too. Most of her donors came from a broadbase of constituents. That translated into 72% of the vote in what should be a swing district.

At 12/22/2005 11:57:00 AM, Blogger too conservative said...

If Nohe can raise the most money..will he be the one to beat?

At 12/22/2005 12:16:00 PM, Blogger Waltzing Matilda said...

Riddler- VPAP still says her #1 contributing group is Real Estate/Construction, but let’s look at the others without their developer money.

Mr. Jenkins = $71,528
Mrs. Barg=$64,770
Mr. Connaughton=$274,831

And what did Mrs. Caddigan raise after removing her developer money, $40,768. That still puts her $24,000 behind the next re-elected incumbent. That indicates that the others also had a broad base of support and they raised more money, which shows that the difference is not who took what from developers.

Actually, based solely on ability to raise money, the Democrats are starting to look pretty good. Plus, let’s not forget, Governor-Elect Kaine did win Prince William County.

At 12/22/2005 01:51:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Caddigan did not raise a lot of money due to the fact that she did not have a very strong opponent and therefore did not feel compelled to raise a lot of money. Barg and Jenkins are notorious for doing a lot of fundraising whereas Caddigan tends to only raise money when she needs to.

At 12/22/2005 02:08:00 PM, Blogger MR JMS said...

Gather around kids and listen to Mr JMS' predicitions.

Connaughton WILL NOT seek re-election. He will run for Lt Governor or Congressman.

Caddigan will not run for Chair and instead back Marty Nohe for the position.

Mabie will retire-- come on the man doesn't even live in PWC-- and McQuiqq will run for Clerk.

Covington stays put. He knows that being Chairman or Clerk will take away his ability to make money and he is looking to stash some dollars before his next move.

Stewart will run to replace McQuiqq.

Mike May and John Gray will battle it out in a primary for Occoquan. May will win as his entire campaign should be, "Wasn't Gray a Dem four years ago???".

Alex Venegas will replace Nohe on the Board.

Jenkins and Barg both stick it out for four more years.

Stirrup gets primared by the CCNC wing of the party, but barely holds on.

Bob Fitzsimmonds replaces Colgan for State Senate.

So your 2007 PWC BOCS will be

Chair: Nohe
VC, Dumfries: Caddigan
Brentsville: Covington
Coles: Venegas
Gainesville: Stirrup
Neabsco: Jenkins
Occoquan: May
Woodbridge: Barg

If I am wrong and Caddigan is Chair than expect Riley or Jane Beyer to replace her.

And I still say Buzz Hawley 2007 for Fairfax BOCS Chairman! Expect Vallie Dietrich to run up in Mason as well.

At 12/22/2005 02:28:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Don't be so sure, Mr. JMS. Caddigan has always used as her campaign website. But a little searching uncovered this:

That's right, she now has instead of just That gives her lee-way to run for something else instead of just re-election as supervisor. And take a look at the date it was registered, not even two weeks ago. She also locked up .net and .org, too. Now, this could have been done for simplicity's sake, but there aren't many coincidences in politics.

At 12/22/2005 03:16:00 PM, Blogger too conservative said...

Buzz Hawley has baggage...

I like most of your ideas though.

I do not see Bob Fitzsimmonds winning that seat...

At 12/22/2005 03:20:00 PM, Blogger too conservative said...

I'll join the fray..


At 12/22/2005 03:20:00 PM, Blogger Riley, Not O'Reilly said...

Here I'm being dragged kicking and screaming into just running for reelection to my HOA board next year and JMS and Hirons keep bringing my name up for other stuff. If there is any member of the TC team who will be a candidate for something sooner rather than later, it will be Not Not Jay Hughes for the Edd Houck seat if that comes open and a special election is held.

At 12/22/2005 03:30:00 PM, Blogger MR JMS said...

Not Chairman, just regular ole Supervisor. We could be the first blog with TWO elected officials.

At 12/22/2005 03:35:00 PM, Blogger too conservative said...


Why do you like buzz hawley?

At 12/22/2005 03:42:00 PM, Blogger Riley, Not O'Reilly said...

I know, JMS. All I'm saying is right now neither of those things that either of you mentioned is on my "To Do" list.

And for what it is worth, I like Buzz, too. Michelle Presson highly recommends him and she is someone whose opinion I've valued highly for over 15 years now.

At 12/22/2005 03:51:00 PM, Blogger too conservative said...

Michelle is a good lady, the Fairfax County Republican Committee will miss her.

Buzz Hawley may be a good guy, but I strongly do not believe he would be right to challenge Connolly.

At 12/22/2005 04:56:00 PM, Anonymous MOM said...

Although I understand the Eastern bias to this blog given your respective locations and the influence of the Fairfax wing of the "Sycophants for Sean", I think you are collectively ignoring significant dissatisfaction in the western portion of the county. Bear in mind that the population center of the county is creeping west as the board continues its policy of overdevelopment (see campaign contributions).

That having been said,if Caddigan, and Nohe have any desire to ascend to the chair, they will have to avoid a primary battle that carries with it the chance an "unknown" from the west or Stewart whose positions seem more in line with the western residents wrests the nomination in a three way struggle.

Either way, Sean steps down or Nohe/Caddigan clash, we in the west win.

At 12/22/2005 05:12:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I dunno if I'm missing something but when I look at a map I see the county's center moving from south to north, not east to west. Is MOM saying that the "North" wins over the "South"?

At 12/22/2005 05:19:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I just looked at VPAP and saw that about 25% of Connaughton's campaign contributions came for the development types, this doesn't seem like allot.

At 12/22/2005 05:50:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I enjoy the irony of Mom's 4:56 post. The people who have moved to western Prince William County are upset with all the other people who have moved to western Prince William County. Well, I guess you gotta blame somebody!

At 12/22/2005 10:44:00 PM, Anonymous James W. said...

Matilda and Freddie,

I stand somewhat corrected. I was able to find references to "chairman" Katherine Hanley, but I also found many to "chairwoman" Katherine Hanley, and some to "chair" Katherine Hanley.

The term chair can, in fact, refer to a piece of furniture. Who knew? But it can also refer to a seat of authority.

I don't know of too many women who would be offended by the term "chair" or "chairwoman." But I guess you Republicans will get all up in arms about any little thing. I suppose the prudent thing would be to ask Ms. Caddigan what title she would prefer.

I have seen Supervisor Caddigan wearing some very serious leather boots that wouldn't go over to well out her in Gainesville. Best keep them down in Dumfries.

At 12/23/2005 12:51:00 AM, Blogger MR JMS said...

Chairman is the appropriate title regardless of gender.


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