Tuesday, January 31, 2006

New Outlook

With the continuing good information from the Staton campaign...my new guesstimate is a Herring victory 53-47. I am leaving D.C. headed straight to close a poll in Ashburn, and then to the victory party. When I hear the winner, you all will hear the winner. I have been told it could be as early as 7:45.

11 Comments:

At 1/31/2006 04:30:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Talk about an optimistic volunteer! I would love to have volunteers like you around for on my campaigns. I mean, nothing like getting up at 3:30am to set up poll stuff, then a few hours later, and all day long, declare that your candidate is going to lose.

I really hope you actually want Staton to win and this isn't some charade to improve your name ID among party. Based on your comments the past few days about Groups A and B, I really can't see you actually wanting Staton to win.

 
At 1/31/2006 04:31:00 PM, Blogger Riley, Not O'Reilly said...

I think he meant to predict a Staton victory since he alluded to continuing good news from that camp. Give him a break, he's been up since 3:30AM and has been running nonstop since.

 
At 1/31/2006 04:31:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Amen.

 
At 1/31/2006 04:33:00 PM, Blogger too conservative said...

The point of this blog isn't to lie or be optomistic..it is to tell it like it is...

I don't like sugar coating.

We find out in 3 hours anyways..

 
At 1/31/2006 04:33:00 PM, Blogger w00t said...

The damage from the Poisson victory must have hit pretty hard on some Republicans. That's why some invest so much emotion to prove that Black's loss wasn't THAT big a loss. Won't be long now. There will be other battles with no end in sight.

 
At 1/31/2006 04:33:00 PM, Blogger James E. Martin said...

wait another 2 and a half hours and well find out:-)

 
At 1/31/2006 04:35:00 PM, Blogger too conservative said...

improve name id..

..because it would do anything to help me?

I have to leave now, to go work for our candidate.

I like Supervisor Staton, and do believe him to be more qualified than Herring.

He needs to win, and I hope he does win.

 
At 1/31/2006 04:53:00 PM, Anonymous Rtwng Extrmst said...

TC's original prediction was 54-46 Herring, the second with the "good information" from Staton was 53-47 Herring. He has been consistent (although pessimistic) of his candidate's chances. I have to wonder though if he is reading too much into the Fairfax precincts he was visiting.

 
At 1/31/2006 05:19:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

No conservative should feel pessimistic on this day.

Judge Alito is in.

Today an extraordinarily young candidate in Mick Staton will, if not outright defeat, make a very strong showing against a more experienced candidate who is the chosen son of the Democratic establishment in VA.

And, "W" begins his home stretch run with his speech tonight.

 
At 1/31/2006 06:51:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Bwahahah. Anon 5:19: I'll give you Scalito, but otherwise get a grip. As far as politics which really matter - that is local politics - a Herring victory will be nothing less than a kick in the nads for the Virginia Republican Party. I gotta admit, Dems play the same post-defeat spin. How's this for size? John Montgomery lost to Chris Peace in one of the most conservative districts in the state by 220 votes. I think that speaks volumes about where Virginia voters are trending.

There, out of my system. Glad I only had to that once during the special election cycle. Should TC's prediction prove accurate, you guys are getting good at this.

 
At 1/31/2006 08:15:00 PM, Blogger Waltzing Matilda said...

Well, it's done now. Staton got his butt kicked. 61.6% to 38.3% with 50 of 52 precints reporting. 12, 379 to 7,688. Looks like TC was way to optimistic.

I wouldn't say the state is trending left. Rather the Republican Party of VA is trending off base.

 

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