Tuesday, January 17, 2006

Staton for Senate

Republicans in the 33rd Senate Dist. nominated Mick Staton for Senate yesterday. Congratulations to both Mick and Randy Minchew who ran class act campaigns and disagreed without being disagreeable. Randy immediately came out in support of Mick following the results of the polling.

Upon hearing he lost, Minchew, a local land use attorney and chairman of the Loudoun County Republican Committee, shook Staton’s hand and told him he had his support. “Now let’s beat Mark Herring,” he told Staton.
This is the model for how intra-party GOP contests should be conducted -- concluding with a united front going into the general election. Go get 'em, Mick!!!


At 1/17/2006 01:44:00 PM, Blogger Involved said...


At 1/17/2006 05:17:00 PM, Blogger blight pesticide said...

This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

At 1/17/2006 05:20:00 PM, Blogger blight pesticide said...

January 31 will be another repeat of the Black/Poisson competition, it will be deja vu all over again. I don't have to watch the movie Titanic, to know what happens at the end.

Oh, while I am at it congratulations are due to Mick, Dick and Eugene for an excellent job in motivating their base. The turn out was impressive.

It does concern me that the ones cheering louder than the BBs are the Democrats and Mark Herring.

At 1/17/2006 09:12:00 PM, Blogger Involved said...


Randy wasn't able to get even a third of the Republicans out to a primary... and that's with allegations of prominent Democrats voting for him as well.

If he can't get a third of the Republican base to the polls during a primary, how exactly was he going to win against a Democrat with their entire base of supporters in a Special Election?

I know that you want to make a case for moderates being able to win general elections, but it just doesn't hold any water in the context of this election. In fact, if this is election can be used as a test case for your theory- then it pretty much proves you wrong!

Regarding your moronic rantings against Black, I'd suggest that you check out the actual numbers before you say anything else. NLS just did an analysis of the numbers that shows a much different picture than you'd like to paint.


In looking at the numbers, if a republican voted for Kilgore, then they also voted for Black. Moderates did not split the vote and cause Black's defeat, as those without family values would love to think. If Kilgore had performed like he should have in Loudoun, Dick Black would still be in office. Their numbers were almost identical.

At 1/17/2006 09:32:00 PM, Anonymous NoVA Scout said...

Involved: we won't know much about anytone's theory until after the 31st. I expect Staton to win. I would think he has better visibility in the district because of his status as a Loudoun Supervisor. I also expect fired-up Dick Black supporters to be keen on salvaging something from November. This should help Staton immensely. But, if he loses, it would be a real fire bell in the night in terms of the kinds of candidates the GOP is fielding in Northern Virginia. So let's see what happens.

At 1/17/2006 10:33:00 PM, Blogger blight pesticide said...


Why in the world would Dems show up to vote for Randy? If they were that devious they would have voted for Staton. True or not, I am certain they like the formula against a BBer more than a moderate like Randy.

Monday morning quarterbacking doesn't change the fact the Dems put together a solid general election campaign, put up a strong candidate, and had a more centrist message. That "analysis" that "vote", lead unfortunately to a Dem victory. You can't debate the outcome. You can debate the aftermath chatter, but that is just conjecture.

Nova Scout hits it on the head. This special election will end the semantics. But I submit, a SE doesn't equate to a normal election cycle. What happened to Black shouldn't be lost, or shoved under the rug. It reflected a real trend that needs to be considered, else, we end up playing prairie dog.

At 1/18/2006 09:28:00 AM, Blogger Riley, Not O'Reilly said...

Anyone who thinks that Mick is a single-issue arch-conservative is sorely mistaken. Dems trying to run the same playbook against him that they did against his father-in-law will do so at their own peril.

At 1/18/2006 11:31:00 AM, Blogger Involved said...


Reading the numbers you can see that Dick got the same percentage of votes as Kilgore. This means that you didn't have the moderate Republican backlash as you've been wrongfully trying to assert. Had Kilgore won, logic would dictate that Dick Black would still be in office.

What you and NOVA are missing is that the GOP is not run from a Richmond office. Individuals select our elected representatives. Randy could not get even a third of the Republican base to the polls. If he can't do that in a primary, he certainly couldn't have done it in the Special Election. Electing Randy would have spelled certain doom for that seat. Now, Republicans at least stand a chance at winning it.

At 1/18/2006 11:53:00 AM, Blogger blight pesticide said...


What you fail to analyze is the Republican votes that went for Randy. Certainly no one thinks the entire party is "swing" voters. I would submit a third of them are.

At 1/18/2006 05:25:00 PM, Anonymous Ruth Demont said...

I am saddened by Minchew's loss. While some saw Minchew's run for the GOP 33rd Senate nomination as a quixotic journey, I saw it as something really profound. After being the epoxy that held the Loudoun Republican Party together for 3 years now, Minchew tried to lead his party back to a winning position after the overwhelming Black and Craddock Republican loses in November. Minchew's challenge to the Dick Black/Eugene Delgaudio wing of the local Republican Party earned him a lot of attack mail but was undoubtedly part of his leadership strategy to reclaim the Republican Center. One cannot help note that all 5 of Loudoun's Centrist Republican Constitutional Officers, Loudoun's sole remaining Republicans in the General Assembly (Tom Rust and Joe May), Leesburg Supervisor Jim Clem (the only Republican Board member who would be reelected today), and 6 Republican School Board members endorsed him. Minchew lost, but showed a lot of class and courage and has, by his actions, advised the Black/Delgaudio wing of the GOP that they will not get the Republican nomination given to them on a platter.

At 1/18/2006 05:31:00 PM, Blogger Too Moderate said...


Go easy on the attacks on Randy. He ran and lost but did so with class.

Perfect picture of what should happen in these primaries. Now if the rest of the bloodsucking leaches who run and get bitter enough to go to the other side could get this model into their heads the Republican party might be able to be the majority party well into the future.


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